Fantasy Baseball Today: Gavin Williams promoted; buy or sell on Bryce Miller; recent bounce

Happy Wednesday, everyone! We lead today off by discussing a recent prospect promotion that has caught our attention over at Fantasy Baseball Today -- Gavin Williams. With Williams set to make his Guardians debut, Chris Towers broke down everything you need to know about him -- you'll need this before shaping your free-agent bid for Williams. One point Towers made that stood out to me is that there's a path for Williams to find early Fantasy success similar to how Bryce Miller has found it: "The fastball will likely be the key to how high Williams' floor can be. He's thrown his four-seamer 62% of the time in Triple-A, and it's been an excellent pitch for him, with a very strong 31.7% whiff rate and 33.2% CSW%; however, as with many up-in-the-zone fastballs, he has had a tendency to get hit pretty hard (92.6 mph average exit velocity), and in the air (33.3% groundball rate), when he isn't getting whiffs, which could be an issue if his control issues follow him to the majors."

Speaking of Miller, Towers took a look behind the curtain to see if Miller was worth continuing to ride or might be a player you should look to sell high. You can find his analysis of Miller -- the "one trick pony" -- and how well that trick can play here. This part of Towers' analysis resonated with me and led me in one direction regarding sell high or hold on Miller: "He might just be an outlier, but Fantasy players generally shouldn't be in the business of betting on outliers. Miller looks to my eyes like a pretty clear sell-high candidate right now. That's not to say he can't succeed, either with his current approach or by making strides with his non-fastball pitches. But, right now, I'm inclined to be skeptical. There's obvious upside here, but I think there will be more struggles coming, and I'd be looking to move Miller for someone like Tyler Glasnow or Pablo Lopez, who I have a lot more faith in moving forward."

Before we dive into some of the more notable Fantasy takeaways from Tuesday, it's worth noting the Reds became the fourth team since 1900 with a 10-game winning streak after losing 100+ games the year before on Tuesday.

Now let's dive into some of the action from Tuesday:

During his Tuesday outing against the White Sox, Nathan Eovaldi struggled with diminished velocity across the board. His fastball was down by 1.9 MPH, the splitter dipped by 1.2 MPH, and the cutter saw a substantial decline of 3 MPH. Eovaldi's average fastball velocity of 93.8 MPH was his lowest of the season, indicating a potential issue. Despite a solid 2.80 ERA and 0.99 WHIP this season, Eovaldi has allowed five home runs in his past three starts, raising concerns for Fantasy managers. Monitoring his velocity moving forward will be crucial, as it has been a key factor in his success thus far. If you want to get aggressive, now might be an excellent time to trade Eovaldi. Sell high before the dip in velocity turns into a bigger issue.

Looking across the Tuesday landscape, these batters caught our attention:

Reid Detmers is starting to look like the promising pitcher we saw at the end of last season. In his matchup against the Dodgers, he tossed seven shutout innings, allowing only two hits, one walk, and striking out eight. Detmers has been impressive lately and is worth targeting via trade with more good innings on the horizon.

Scott White took a deeper dive into 14 players who are showing signs of life and what to make of them here.

From Scott: "Your own confidence level will depend on what you think it means for Dylan Cease to "bounce back." I always thought a repeat of 2022 was too much to ask, which is why he was among my preseason bust picks, but I never expected him to have an 11 percent swinging-strike rate through his first 12 starts. That's above-average at best. He needs to be among the best of the best bat-missers to get away with walking as many as he does, so I take solace in the fact that he has an 18 percent swinging-strike rate in the three starts depicted above."

From Scott: "You might say that an isolated good start merits a confidence rating of only one ball, but I'm giving Lance Lynn an extra half for two reasons. One is that I've long contended better days are ahead, as evidenced by his strikeout and whiff rates, and two is that the good start wasn't just good but historic. A 16-strikeout effort goes a long way toward relieving doubts, even if he entered with an ERA near 7.00, but I must confess that if he bombs next time out, we're probably back to square one."

From Scott: "Jake McCarthy was batting .143 when he was sent to the minors in late April and is batting.315 since returning in late May, which is reminiscent of him batting .228 when he was between the minors and majors last year compared to .302 when he was up for good. Of course, a common fallacy is that players will repeat the same pattern year after year in a game rife with irregularity, and I may be lavishing in that fallacy here myself. But the fact is that what he's doing now is more in line with what we thought he'd do from the start, so it's not a tough sell on me."